Pre-tourney Rankings
The Citadel
Southern
2016-17
Overall
Predictive Rating-8.7#297
Expected Predictive Rating-7.3#274
Pace98.8#2
Improvement-0.3#183

Offense
Total Offense-0.4#181
First Shot+0.5#159
After Offensive Rebound-0.9#245
Layup/Dunks-3.5#301
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.9#312
3 Pt Jumpshots+7.5#12
Freethrows-0.6#209
Improvement-2.6#303

Defense
Total Defense-8.3#338
First Shot-6.8#341
After Offensive Rebounds-1.5#310
Layups/Dunks-8.1#350
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#41
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#113
Freethrows-2.2#306
Improvement+2.3#52
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2016 93   @ College of Charleston L 68-81 8%     0 - 1 -5.6 -7.8 +3.7
  Nov 18, 2016 322   @ Stetson W 116-112 48%     1 - 1 -4.3 +11.5 -16.6
  Nov 20, 2016 17   @ Iowa St. L 63-130 1%     1 - 2 -46.9 -15.7 -17.1
  Nov 23, 2016 114   @ Arizona St. L 110-127 10%     1 - 3 -11.4 +11.3 -18.8
  Nov 28, 2016 350   Presbyterian W 97-83 89%     2 - 3 -8.4 +16.7 -24.8
  Dec 02, 2016 270   Colgate W 108-101 52%     3 - 3 -2.2 +14.4 -17.6
  Dec 03, 2016 238   South Carolina Upstate W 97-92 44%     4 - 3 -2.3 +6.8 -9.7
  Dec 04, 2016 287   Campbell L 91-97 57%     4 - 4 -16.5 -2.0 -13.5
  Dec 17, 2016 36   @ Virginia Tech L 71-113 3%     4 - 5 -27.7 -12.7 -6.8
  Dec 19, 2016 197   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. L 111-120 2OT 19%     4 - 6 -8.6 -2.5 -3.1
  Dec 28, 2016 120   UNC Greensboro L 87-95 20%     4 - 7 0 - 1 -7.9 -3.7 -2.7
  Dec 31, 2016 106   @ Furman L 68-83 9%     4 - 8 0 - 2 -8.8 -6.8 -0.9
  Jan 02, 2017 135   @ Wofford W 104-103 OT 12%     5 - 8 1 - 2 +5.0 +7.2 -2.4
  Jan 05, 2017 69   East Tennessee St. L 71-115 10%     5 - 9 1 - 3 -38.6 -10.7 -20.0
  Jan 07, 2017 324   VMI W 79-74 68%     6 - 9 2 - 3 -8.4 -6.5 -2.2
  Jan 11, 2017 124   @ Chattanooga L 73-83 11%     6 - 10 2 - 4 -5.3 +1.2 -6.1
  Jan 14, 2017 162   Samford L 90-98 27%     6 - 11 2 - 5 -10.4 -2.4 -6.6
  Jan 19, 2017 317   @ Western Carolina L 95-100 47%     6 - 12 2 - 6 -12.8 +17.6 -30.2
  Jan 21, 2017 120   @ UNC Greensboro L 72-81 10%     6 - 13 2 - 7 -3.9 +0.1 -3.9
  Jan 28, 2017 146   @ Mercer L 66-82 13%     6 - 14 2 - 8 -12.3 -4.3 -8.8
  Feb 02, 2017 135   Wofford L 90-100 23%     6 - 15 2 - 9 -11.0 +3.1 -13.0
  Feb 04, 2017 106   Furman L 91-99 18%     6 - 16 2 - 10 -6.8 +11.7 -17.9
  Feb 09, 2017 69   @ East Tennessee St. L 69-90 5%     6 - 17 2 - 11 -10.6 -7.2 -0.3
  Feb 11, 2017 324   @ VMI L 78-101 48%     6 - 18 2 - 12 -31.3 -9.9 -18.6
  Feb 18, 2017 146   Mercer L 78-89 24%     6 - 19 2 - 13 -12.4 -0.6 -11.4
  Feb 22, 2017 317   Western Carolina L 80-84 66%     6 - 20 2 - 14 -16.9 -5.3 -11.1
  Feb 25, 2017 162   @ Samford W 102-96 14%     7 - 20 3 - 14 +8.7 +14.2 -6.3
  Feb 27, 2017 124   Chattanooga W 85-76 21%     8 - 20 4 - 14 +8.6 +14.4 -5.6
  Mar 03, 2017 317   Western Carolina W 78-72 56%     9 - 20 -4.4 -2.8 -2.1
  Mar 04, 2017 120   UNC Greensboro L 67-76 15%     9 - 21 -6.4 -1.7 -5.2
Projected Record 9.0 - 21.0 4.0 - 14.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 100.0 100.0 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14 100.0% 100.0
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%